比赛详情

Scotland (FIFA #42, Elo 1782) are favourites over Haiti (FIFA #83, Elo 1548); the model is driven by their Elo gap of 234. The model gives Haiti 17% / draw 23% / Scotland 60%, with a most-likely scoreline of 0-1. A clear but not overwhelming edge — medium confidence.

方向和比分都命中，赛前模型对双方强弱和进球区间判断比较稳定。

模型方向暂不需要大幅调整，重点微调预期进球和比分分布。