比赛详情

Ecuador (FIFA #23, Elo 1938) are clear favourites over Ivory Coast (FIFA #33, Elo 1695); the model is driven by their Elo gap of 243. The model gives Ivory Coast 17% / draw 23% / Ecuador 60%, with a most-likely scoreline of 0-1. The rating gap is large enough to call this high confidence.

预测方向偏差，赛前更看好厄瓜多尔胜，实际打出科特迪瓦胜，属于需要重点复盘的冷门场次。

建议提高科特迪瓦近期状态、临场执行和防守质量的权重，避免只被赛前排名牵引。