比赛详情

France (FIFA #3, Elo 2063) are favourites over Senegal (FIFA #15, Elo 1860); the model is driven by their Elo gap of 203. The model gives France 57% / draw 24% / Senegal 20%, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-0. A clear but not overwhelming edge — medium confidence.

预测方向命中，但具体比分有偏差，后续需要继续校准进球数和防守强度。

模型方向暂不需要大幅调整，重点微调预期进球和比分分布。