比赛详情

Norway (FIFA #31, Elo 1914) are clear favourites over Iraq (FIFA #57, Elo 1607); the model is driven by their Elo gap of 307. The model gives Iraq 13% / draw 21% / Norway 67%, with a most-likely scoreline of 0-1. The rating gap is large enough to call this high confidence.

预测方向命中，但具体比分有偏差，后续需要继续校准进球数和防守强度。

模型方向暂不需要大幅调整，重点微调预期进球和比分分布。