比赛详情

Argentina (FIFA #1, Elo 2115) are clear favourites over Algeria (FIFA #28, Elo 1772); the model is driven by their Elo gap of 343. The model gives Argentina 70% / draw 20% / Algeria 10%, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-0. The rating gap is large enough to call this high confidence.

预测方向命中，但具体比分有偏差，后续需要继续校准进球数和防守强度。

模型方向暂不需要大幅调整，重点微调预期进球和比分分布。