比赛详情

Austria (FIFA #24, Elo 1830) are favourites over Jordan (FIFA #63, Elo 1680); the model is driven by their Elo gap of 150. The model gives Austria 51% / draw 25% / Jordan 24%, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-0. A clear but not overwhelming edge — medium confidence.

预测方向命中，但具体比分有偏差，后续需要继续校准进球数和防守强度。

模型方向暂不需要大幅调整，重点微调预期进球和比分分布。