比赛详情

Switzerland (FIFA #19, Elo 1891) are clear favourites over Bosnia and Herzegovina (FIFA #64, Elo 1616); the model is driven by their Elo gap of 275. The model gives Switzerland 64% / draw 22% / Bosnia and Herzegovina 15%, with a most-likely scoreline of 1-0. The rating gap is large enough to call this high confidence.

预测方向命中，但具体比分有偏差，后续需要继续校准进球数和防守强度。

模型方向暂不需要大幅调整，重点微调预期进球和比分分布。